Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.996610 1.213835 1.445708 1.709573 1.999555 2.306732 2.654961
2024-10-27 0.764380 1.069111 1.418286 1.839355 2.325470 2.862109 3.492644
2024-11-03 0.649760 1.002567 1.426709 1.957137 2.587567 3.299813 4.152941
2024-11-10 0.560955 0.950167 1.439080 2.070043 2.838227 3.722323 4.797279
2024-11-17 0.494974 0.912692 1.458058 2.180630 3.077585 4.124992 5.413262
2024-11-24 0.417194 0.846255 1.430371 2.225627 3.232168 4.424348 5.906970
2024-12-01 0.340680 0.768734 1.378271 2.231519 3.332385 4.654273 6.315506
2024-12-08 0.257277 0.665574 1.279859 2.167850 3.338354 4.764991 6.578064
2024-12-15 0.190282 0.574936 1.188857 2.105563 3.339317 4.864432 6.822952
2024-12-22 0.142941 0.507542 1.124056 2.072467 3.372641 4.999637 7.107613
2024-12-29 0.116765 0.474813 1.108627 2.105727 3.491158 5.240090 7.520308
2025-01-05 0.090981 0.435775 1.078840 2.115346 3.576134 5.437051 7.878967
2025-01-12 0.061848 0.380858 1.021509 2.088023 3.618893 5.591680 8.201344
2025-01-19 0.058270 0.392036 1.078860 2.233905 3.901203 6.057305 8.916369
2025-01-26 0.053630 0.398474 1.127050 2.365509 4.163737 6.497577 9.600064
2025-02-02 0.048817 0.402900 1.171328 2.491485 4.419405 6.930394 10.276467
2025-02-09 0.044241 0.406520 1.213674 2.614528 4.671462 7.359363 10.949312
2025-02-16 0.034115 0.386319 1.209662 2.664528 4.821115 7.655390 11.455599
2025-02-23 0.023000 0.354162 1.179381 2.671069 4.908323 7.869226 11.858012
2025-03-02 0.011106 0.302190 1.103419 2.600325 4.882844 7.933088 12.068992
2025-03-09 0.003996 0.255829 1.031485 2.531030 4.855744 7.992121 12.271724
2025-03-16 0.000997 0.222493 0.981723 2.494174 4.872055 8.105757 12.541192
2025-03-23 0.000241 0.209291 0.976090 2.531212 4.996278 8.363922 12.996844